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Tuesday 05/26/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Game of the day: Cavaliers at Magic
By The Prez

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic (+1, 188)

The series

Hard to believe oddsmakers have so little faith in Orlando, which has covered in each game of this series. But when the Magic had back-to-back home games in the first two rounds, they weren’t able to sweep both against either the Boston Celtics or Philadelphia 76ers. Ninety points is clearly the magic number for this team, no pun intended, as Orlando is 8-0 this postseason when holding the opposition to 90 or fewer points.

Orlando got off to a good start in Game 3 and built its lead in the fourth quarter. In the first two games of the series, the Magic had been outscored 63-35 in the first quarter by the Cavaliers. In Game 3, Orlando led 24-17 after the first 12 minutes.

Orlando has won 10 of its past 14 meetings with Cleveland and six of the past seven at home. The Cavs haven’t lost four games in a row against the spread since mid-March (and they won all those straight up).

Let’s get physical

It will be interesting to see if the referees take control of Tuesday’s game early in the wake of the Game 3 foul-fest. Fifty-eight personal fouls were called and Cleveland’s Mo Williams had his eye bashed in by an Anthony Johnson elbow.

Both Williams and James called it a cheap shot, although an original Flagrant 2 foul call was downgraded to a Flagrant 1 and Johnson stayed in the game.

"You see Mo's face and it's not a pretty sight. It's not called for in this game," James said.

Dwight Howard also got a technical in Game 3, and two more means an automatic suspension for the following game.

Howard played just 28 minutes in Game 3 because of fouls, but he made the Cavs pay for all the fouls on him, hitting 14-for-19 from the line. His free-throw shooting percentage is 10 points higher in this series than it was in the regular season, although he had just 10 total attempts in the first two games in Cleveland.

The Cleveland media is calling the strategy “Slap a Superman” and both Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Anderson Varejao fouled out in Game 3 while hacking Howard.

“That was a great strategy until he started making them," Williams said to reporters. "If he's clanging them off the backboard it'll work to perfection. Unfortunately for us and fortunately for them, he made them."

One-man show

James has been stellar in this series, averaging 41.7 points per game. Problem is, that’s about 43 percent of his team’s total output. Guards Williams and Delonte West are shooting a combined 28 percent in the series, yet Cleveland coach Mike Brown has pretty much kept Daniel Gibson and Wally Szczerbiak - two guys who can get hot from outside - tied to the bench.

Williams is shooting just 32.1 percent from the field in this series and 25 percent from 3-point range. Those numbers in the regular season were 46.7 percent and 43.6 percent, respectively. Pretty much all his numbers are down this postseason.

"If I do make a shot, I can hear Stan (Van Gundy) screaming at them, 'Get up closer, get up closer' so they're trying to make an effort to not give me open looks," Williams said to reporters.

No Cavalier managed more than 15 points in Game 3 outside of James, and the bench had just eight total. That simply won’t get it done. The Cavs’ perceived edge in this series was definitely in the backcourt, but West (13-for-31 in the series) and Williams (18-for-55) are being outplayed.

That’s in large part to Orlando’s big swingmen like Rashard Lewis (6-foot-10), Mickael Pietrus (6-6) and Hedo Turkoglu (6-10) closing fast on defense. And really it’s those three guys who are giving the Cavs the most problems on offense and defense.

"They create a lot of matchup problems," James said. "The way Rashard spaces the floor, our bigs are not used to it.

It's also like the Cavs have forgotten who they are, as they have attempted 73 3-pointers in this series (making just 18), which is 10 more attempts than the Magic, who led the NBA in 3s during the regular season.

“They have to keep shooting,” Brown said.
 
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Game 4, Cavs-Magic
By Chris David

Cleveland was listed as the odds-on favorite to win the NBA Finals and few could argue against the club considering it looked unstoppable through the first two rounds of the playoffs. Mike Brown’s team posted a perfect 8-0 ledger and won every game by double digits albeit against the hapless Pistons and erratic Hawks.

Prior to Cleveland’s battle against Orlando in the Eastern Conference Finals, most pundits weren’t asking if the Cavs would win rather how many games would it take them to finish off the Magic.

According to Bodog.com, the shortest Exact Series Finish odds for the Cavs were set for five games and if you’ve followed this series, then you’ll know that outcome is finished.

Orlando captured a 99-89 victory over Cleveland on Sunday giving the club a 2-1 series lead in the best-of-seven battle. Dwight Howard scored 24 points, 14 from the free throw line, and the Magic bounced back from LeBron James’ game-winning shot in Game 2.

James finished with 41 points in the Game 3’s loss but neither him (1-of-8) or his teammates (4-of-18) could buy a shot from 3-point land. The supporting cast for the Cavs continues to get criticized and deservingly so.

The Cavs’ Mo Williams finished Game 3 with a dismal performance from the field, going 5-of-16. In this series, Williams is shooting 32 percent and is just 6-of-24 (25%) from 3-point land. To add insult to his rough play, the first-year All-Star caught a vicious elbow from Orlando’s Anthony Johnson that left him bloody.

Not only has Williams been missing, but Cleveland backers are searching for Zydrunas Ilguaskas, who averaging 10.3 PPG while shooting 38 percent (13-of-34) through the first three games. The Cavs were hoping his outside game could open the paint but that hasn’t been the case so far.

Fortunately, the Cavs’ offense was helped with 35 trips to the charity stripe, which made up for a dismal shooting percentage (37%).

While we hate to waste time on conspiracy theories, it’s fair to say that the public and the NBA want to see the Lakers and Cavaliers meet in the NBA Finals regardless of what commissioner David Stern says.

With that being said, the fouls in Game 3 were questionable and you could make a fair argument that the refs were leaning towards the LeBron and the Cavs, especially late in the game. The officials called 58 fouls, which resulted in 86 free throws in 48 minutes. Some of the fouls were real questionable, including a phantom call on Howard’s block on James 3-point attempt in the final minute.

The ‘over/under’ closed at 189 in Game 3 and gamblers backing the ‘under’ surprisingly had to sweat it out. After watching 81 total points scored in the first 24 minutes, ‘under’ players had 108 points to play with in the second-half. The second-half total was 94 at most outfits and the two clubs combined for 107 points in the last two quarters, 45 coming from the free-throw line.

In the six meetings this year, Cleveland is averaging 93.8 PPG and only shooting 42.8 percent during the stretch. Mike Brown’s team is in dire need of offense outside of LeBron yet he hasn’t called on sharpshooters Wally Szczerbiak or Daniel Gibson off the bench. The only other true outside threat on the pine is Sasha Pavlovic, who scored nine points in Game 2’s victory.

Even though the Cavs have lost four of six and failed to cover the number in eight straight meetings against the Magic, they’ve still been tabbed as favorites for Game 4.

The game opened at a pick but Cleveland is now a short one-point road favorite. The total is sitting on 188. The ‘over’ has gone 2-1 in the series.

Not only have the Magic covered eight straight, but they’re 13-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Orlando has lost two games at home in the playoffs, both coming in buzzer-beater fashion to Philadelphia and Boston. If you look at the Magic’s six losses this postseason, five have come by four points or less.

One trend favoring Cleveland is how the team responds off a loss. This year, the Cavs have gone 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS after a defeat and that includes Game 2’s comeback win at home against Orlando in this series.

It’s fair to say that Orlando hasn’t played a complete game in this series yet, which means the top-seeded Cavaliers will have to be perfect here on out, something they haven’t been since the first two rounds.

TNT will provide national coverage of this tip at 8:35 p.m. EDT.

After this battle, the two teams will head to Cleveland for Game 5 on Thursday.

vegasinsider
 
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anyone got this guy SCOTT DELANEY

! ! ! RED ALERT ! ! !



Highest-Rated

MLB Release

of the Season



40-Dime MLB

Game of the Year

Forget the teams,

don't miss this play!!!

Now is this a total or side.....says forget the teams?
 

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Red Dog Sports

Seattle at Oakland
Play: Over 8

Washburn has an ERA of 5.50 in his last 3 starts and Braden's ERA is 6.00 over that span. There have been 7 overs, 3 unders and a push in the last 11 meetings and the A's have 9 overs and 3 unders in their last 12 overall games. Look for the over to profit on Tuesday night!
 

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LT Profits

Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants


Pick: Braves/Giants Under 8
 

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ALEX SMART

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Carolina Hurricanes
PICK: Pittsburgh Penguins

The Hurricanes have to come up with a huge effort to dump the one minded surging Penguins Something I doubt they will do considering the Pittsburgh team they face looks very much to be a Stanley Cup front runner. I know that only twice in 145 series has an NHL team come back from a 0-3 playoff deficit to win the series 4-3. The last team to lose a series having led 3-0 is their series opponents Pittsburgh way back in the mid 70’s to a NY Isles team that that later in that decade went on to win 4 straight cups.

Pittsburgh are surging at the moment thanks mainly to the Pens’ two young guns , Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. The super star duo have combined for an impressive 14 points and eight of their team’s 16 goals.

Pittsburgh’s underrated defense has come up huge as well, as is evidenced by limiting Canes stalwarts Staal, Whitney and Cole to a combined five assists in the first three tilts .

It’s clear Pittsburgh can smell blood in the water and will be primed to end their opponents misery, and extend on their own euphoria by advancing to the Stanley cup final and exacting some revenge on their opponents from last year the Detroit Red Wings.

Despite Cam Wards early post-season heroics, Pittsburgh have found a weakness high on his glove hand side and will continue to pepper the Canes goaltender throughout this fourth game, just as they have done over the first three games. Im betting they bury the biscuit multiple times.

Teams with a 3-0 advantage have swept their opponents in 96 of those 145 series. Thats a 66% strike rate and that makes Pittsburgh a -140 fav on those stats alone. Given that Vegas has priced them as -120 chalk, there is certainly value in that price which makes recommending a Pittsburgh win a viable wagering option.

Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins
 

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Jimmy The Moose

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers pounded the Rockies last night and have now won 7 of their last 9 games. The Rockies have dropped 6 of their last 10. LA has won 6 of their last 7 road games. In their last 29 games following a win they are 21-8. The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 9 home games. In their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter they are 4-10. The Rockies are 3-6 in Cook’s 9 starts this season. Colorado is 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs. the Dodgers. Play on the Los Angeles Dodgers +.
 

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Craig Trapp

Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics
Play: Seattle Mariners

Tearing the cover off the ball, Craig has been too hot in his 5 star MLB top plays daily going 12-4 the last two weeks. Yesterday Craig nailed his 5 star UNDERDOG of the Week as LAD won by double digits as a dog. Unfortunately did not hit our free MLB play as TB gave up a 10-0 lead late in the game. But today we will nail this Bonus Play, lets look at the records, trends and winning breakdown.

Records

Seattle Mariners 21-25, 9-13 away (Washburn 3-3, 3.86 ERA)

Oakland Athletics 17-25, 10-12 home (Braden 3-5, 3.67 ERA)

Betting Trends

-Mariners are 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.

-Mariners are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

-Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

-Athletics are 0-8 in Bradens last 8 starts as a home favorite.

Neither one of these two are hot but love recent trends as Seattle has been good against left handers whereas the Athletics have struggled big time. Also SEATTLE is 5-2 on the year against OAKLAND and 3-1 in OAK. Washburn was good in his early appearance this month against OAK but did not get a win going 7 innings with only one earned run. On the other hand Braden historically is not good against SEA going 0-2 with a 8.07 ERA. Oakland’s bats are the worst in almost every category in the league so love that we are on the +125 dog here. SCORE SEA 5 – OAK 2
 

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Al Demarco

10 Dime - San Francisco (Lincecum) - 1 1/2 Runs over Atlanta (Medlen)

Paid for


Thanks for posting!!! Do you have the write-up?? Im thinking about possibly playing this game so I would be interested to see what DeMarco has to say about it. Thanks again.
 

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Indiancowboy

Take the Under 188 between the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic

I have a play on the side in this contest, but I like a total here as well. Bear in mind that this is a must win for the Cavs. The Cavs are down 2-1 and to be frank, they have been a bit outplayed in this series. I do feel like they show up in this contest for most of the game and consequently will likely push this game Under. The Cavs are an under team by nature, but with the Magic being competitive on the road has the pushed the total over consequently. But, in Orlando, it is a bit different as the Cavs remain competitive and they play their style of pace and offense. Thus, this pushes games under which was the case in Game 3 despite the Magic winning. Bear in mind, that although the Magic won the Cavs dictated pace. The Cavs can only win if they play one type of pace while the Magic can win both in an offensive shootout or a defensive lockdown. Although I have a play on the side in this game, as per this total I lean on the Under as I feel that this game is likely to go Under similar to game 3 in a very hard fought Game 4 which we are likely to see play out tonight.
 

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